Throughout revolutions and uprisings there’s normally one very common fundamental cause – economics. A dictator or government with an agenda can get away with a lot with a background of prosperity. Many of the Middle East countries have virtual dictatorships but money buys acceptance at least to a certain degree. But any poor or dictatorial ruler had better watch out if poverty, unemployment are rising. All the other problems are magnified when people have trouble feeding their families – and things are pretty bleak in Egypt at the moment.
As we stand now, Mursi has sufferred the cost of the failing economy as much as any other issue. There is lots of talk about Islamisation, lack of freedom and the poor record of the security in the last year but ultimately the economy is nearly always the tipping point. In a country like Egypt with many factions not least the religious and secularists – the economy effects them all.
The sad fact is that in the 12 months of the Muslin Brotherhood’s rule – unemployment, poverty and debt have all risen. To an outsider there seems to have been little effort to solve these problems and too much focus on creating an Islamic state. One things for sure, political unrest has only one economic consequence and it’s not a good one.
Any continued unrest and political instability is going to hit Egypt hard, any ruler wherever he is found is going to have a very difficult time if the fighting and discord continues. Egypt is a country that relies heavily on it’s tourist industry and people don’t visit political hotspots for their holidays.
If you walk down the streets of Luxor and round the Valley of the KIngs you’ll see the problems. There are simply no tourists in a town almost entirely dependent on them, Egyptians are sitting around with nothing to do except perhaps blame their leaders.
But it’s not all bad news, in some senses Egypt was not really recovering under the current rulers. They seemed to lack both experience and the will to tackle Egypts real economic problems instead appearing to focus on their religious agendas. Incredibly stock markets in Egypt have actually started to rally in the face of political change, the market seems to want it. As long as an experienced and less divisive leader can be found then perhaps there is some hope. There are some great articles and reports on the crisis from the BBC from their foreign correspondents if you want to get an impartial view. For those living outside the UK you can access these reports on the BBC Iplayer and other UK Television shows by shielding your real IP address – more information here.